Hydropower remains the dominant source of electricity generation, accounting for nearly 98 percent of the country’s power mix, with the remainder derived from hydrocarbons and minor sources. Tajikistan’s theoretical hydropower potential is estimated at over 527 billion kWh annually—enough to meet Central Asia’s energy consumption three times over.
The Roghun Hydropower Project is the centerpiece of Tajikistan’s energy strategy. Designed with a capacity of 3,600–3,780 MW, the dam is projected to generate approximately 17 TWh annually. In December 2024, the World Bank approved a $350 million IDA grant for Rogen as part of a larger $6.29 billion financing package involving multilateral development banks such as the Asian Development Bank (ADB), Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), Islamic Development Bank (IsDB), European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), and others. Additional funding includes $650 million from the World Bank, $500 million from AIIB, $150 million from IsDB, and $100 million from the Saudi Fund.
Tajikistan is upgrading its transmission infrastructure to support domestic energy needs and regional exports. The 500 kV Datka–Sughd transmission line, developed under the CASA-1000 project, enables energy exports to Pakistan and Afghanistan. Several small- and medium-scale projects were commissioned in early 2025, including:
The 11 MW Sebzor Hydropower Plant (HPP).
3.25 MW solar plants and 1.62 MWh storage systems in Murghab.
Four small hydro plants totaling 451 kW in Darvaz and Rushan.
New substations and transmission lines, such as “Dzhangal,” “Kozidekh,” and Vomar–Vozvand PTL.
Tajikistan is rapidly expanding its solar energy capacity, with several large-scale projects underway:
A 200 MW solar PV plant and solar equipment manufacturing facility in the Panj Free Economic Zone (FEZ), supported by an initial $150 million investment and a total of $1.5 billion across four phases from Chinese company Eging PV Technology Co., Ltd.. The facility is expected to reach a production capacity of 5,000 MW and create approximately 8,000 jobs.
A 200 MW solar plant in the Sughd region, led by Masdar Abu Dhabi Future Energy Co (90 percent stake), , is slated to produce approximately 400 GWh annually by the end of 2026.
A 200 MW solar tender is underway, with major players such as ACWA Power, EDF, and Universal Energy shortlisted for development in the Sughd region. Potential funding from International Finance Corporation, Asian Development Bank, and European Bank for Reconstruction and Development.
Two 3 MW solar power plants with 0.5 MW battery storage are planned for Sughd and GBAO under a South Korean cooperation agreement.
Tajikistan aims to add up to 1,500 MW of solar and wind capacity over the next two years, targeting renewables to comprise 10 percent of its energy mix by 2030. The country is committed to achieving a fully green energy transition by 2032 and a green economy by 2037. Masdar is also exploring 500 MW of clean energy projects, including PV, floating solar, and hydropower, in partnership with the government.
Leading Sub-sectors
Power transmission equipment and supplies
Power system monitoring equipment
Solar Cells
Batteries
Charging equipment for electric vehicles
Hydropower
Resources
Rogen HPP project: Technical Assistance for Financing Framework for Roghun Hydropower Project
Nurek HPP project: Nurek Hydropower Rehabilitation Project Phase I
Project Management Group for Energy Facilities under the President of Tajikistan
Table: Total Market size 2022-2025 est.
| 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 estimated |
Total Exports | $106.0 | $110.0 | $113.0 | $120.0 |
Total Imports | $217.0 | $246.0 | $425.0 | $550.0 |
Imports from the US | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a |
Trade Surplus/Deficit | ($-111.0) | ($-135.0) | ($-312.0) | ($-370) |
Exchange Rates | $1= 10.2153 | $1 = 10,8445 | $1=10.7993 | $1=10.6432 |
Units: $ millions
Source: TajStat, ICT, NBT