Overview
In 2024, the Philippines ranked as the eleventh-largest global market and the second-largest market in Southeast Asia for exports of U.S. agricultural and related products. The value declined 3 percent year-over-year to $3.5 billion, primarily due to price reductions in soybean meal and wheat. The United States maintained its position as the largest single-country supplier of agricultural and related products to the Philippines; however, the U.S. market share dropped from 20 percent to 18 percent amidst logistical and tariff disadvantages and intense competition.
Already an established market, the Philippines continues to offer strong opportunities for exporters. Longstanding trade relations and strong consumer trust in U.S.-origin products are valuable assets for U.S. exporters. The demand is driven by a young and growing population, which is expected to continue expanding for at least the next 30 years, adding about one million people each year, according to the Philippine Statistics Authority. Additionally, the highly urbanized and robust working class, with more than 95 percent of the labor force employed, further supports demand for imported food products. Although the market is price-sensitive, consumer-oriented products are less affected by price movements compared to bulk and intermediary products. Diversification, particularly in consumer-oriented products, is likely to be the path to achieving long-term growth.
U.S. Exports of Agricultural and Related Products
Table: Top 10 U.S. Agricultural and Related Exports to the Philippines (Value in Millions of Dollars)
Product | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023–2024 % Change | 2020–2024 Average |
Soybean Meal | 899 | 976 | 1,014 | 1272 | 1,012 | -20% | 1,035 |
Wheat | 814 | 885 | 920 | 750 | 736 | -2% | 821 |
Dairy Products | 409 | 424 | 582 | 372 | 365 | -2% | 430 |
Poultry Meat & Products (excl. eggs) | 64 | 146 | 221 | 180 | 194 | 8% | 161 |
Ethanol (non-beverage) | 68 | 52 | 111 | 70 | 147 | 111% | 89 |
Beef & Beef Products | 62 | 73 | 161 | 84 | 132 | 58% | 102 |
Pork & Pork Products | 114 | 205 | 134 | 110 | 121 | 10% | 137 |
Processed Vegetables | 74 | 95 | 108 | 124 | 119 | -4% | 104 |
Food Preparations | 109 | 110 | 98 | 77 | 82 | 6% | 95 |
Other Feeds, Meals & Fodders | 75 | 84 | 109 | 75 | 64 | -15% | 82 |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Trade Data - BICO HS-10
In 2024, intermediate products ranked as the largest category of U.S. agricultural products exported to the Philippines with a value of $1.4 billion. The top products were soybean meal ($1 billion), ethanol ($147 million, non-beverage), and other feeds, meals, and fodders ($64 million). The 111 percent year-over-year growth for U.S. ethanol was remarkable, with exports increasing by $77 million. In the current E10 (10 percent ethanol on gasoline) mandate, the Philippines can only supply 50 percent of demand for fuel ethanol due to feedstock problem. The remaining 50 percent requirement were mainly sourced from the United States.
Consumer-oriented products ranked as the second-largest category of U.S. agricultural products exported to the Philippines. In 2024, exports of these products amounted to $1.3 billion, signifying an 8 percent increase from 2023. The Philippines has been the top Southeast Asian destination for U.S. consumer-oriented products since 2006, highlighting the importance of the market for U.S. exporters. The top products in 2024 were dairy products ($365 million), poultry meat & products ($194 million, excluding eggs), and beef products ($132 million). Philippine dairy production remains low due to the limited number of dairy animals and production inefficiencies. Due to the inability of domestic production to meet demand, the Philippines imports 99 percent of its dairy requirement. The United States held a 30 percent share of the market in 2024. Such import reliance presents a substantial opportunity for U.S. dairy exporters to grow their presence in the market.
Bulk products came in third, accounting for $850 million worth of U.S. agricultural products exported to the Philippines. Top products were wheat ($736 million), soybeans ($57 million), and corn ($32 million). The Philippines does not cultivate wheat, but wheat flour is an important part of its people’s diet, making the country a major importer of milling wheat. The United States held more than 80 percent of the market for milling wheat, although other countries such as Australia supplied around 67 percent of the country’s feed wheat imports in 2024. The Philippines was the largest buyer of U.S. Hard Red Spring (HRS) wheat and Soft White (SW) wheat, and the second-largest buyer of all U.S. wheat classes.
The smallest but fastest-growing category was agricultural-related products, specifically forest and seafood products, with sales reaching $30 million in 2024, reflecting a 23 percent year-over-year increase.
Market Sectors
Food Processing Sector
The food and beverage manufacturing sectors are experiencing expansion driven by sustained domestic demand. Manufacturers are actively pursuing product diversification and innovative healthy and nutritious food formats to attract new consumer segments and bolster sales. Although inflationary pressures started easing, the industry continues to face elevated production costs, including raw materials and electricity, which have led to increased product prices. Consequently, a significant portion of consumers have adopted thriftier spending, favoring smaller packaging sizes or private label brands.
Food Service Sector
The food service sector is expected to experience significant growth as restaurant chains enhance sales through the expansion of store locations and diverse restaurant concepts, while sustaining online delivery services. Restaurants and hotels are opening new branches, franchising international restaurants, and implementing promotional strategies to surpass last year’s sales figures. While many hotels and restaurants are incorporating imported premium ingredients into their offerings, restaurant chains, including quick service restaurants, are extending their reach to rural areas. Due to their affordability and convenience, a substantial portion of the population frequents quick service restaurants regularly.
Food Retail Sector
Food retail sales are projected to grow, driven by robust demand and the continued expansion of modern retail outlets, despite elevated retail prices. Retailers are increasingly offering a diverse array of imported food and beverage products to cater to the growing middle-income and upper-income classes, who remain relatively unaffected by inflation. Although inflation remains elevated, the rise in overseas workers and higher employment rates have resulted in increased income, covering essential needs such as food and beverages. Retailers are exploring cross-selling opportunities, launching new products, and emphasizing imported product displays to attract new consumers. As consumers spend more time outside their homes, retailers are employing omnichannel marketing strategies to provide a seamless, on-demand shopping experience across in-store, mobile, and online platforms. Additionally, some retailers are offering private label products to deliver value for money to price-sensitive consumers