Travel and Tourism Forecasts
The National Travel and Tourism Office’s International Visitor Forecast
The National Travel and Tourism Office (NTTO) International Visitor Forecast provides a five-year outlook on international travel to the United States, projecting increased visitor arrivals from 2026 through 2030.1 The forecast covers the top 12 U.S. source markets, overseas visitation2, and aggregate arrivals from all countries worldwide. Published by NTTO—a part of the International Trade Administration’s Industry & Analysis business unit at the U.S. Department of Commerce—the forecast serves as the official U.S. Government resource for understanding future trends in inbound tourism demand.
Forecast of Total International Visitation to the United States (2026-2030)
Total international visitation to the United States is expected to grow by 25 percent from 68.3 million visitors in 2025 to 85.2 million visitors in 2030.
According to the forecast, total international arrivals will increase 3.2 percent to 70.5 million in 2026. This anticipated growth is partly driven by the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which is expected to stimulate travel demand and increase visitor arrivals. International travel to the United States is projected to continue to rise 5.2 percent to 74.1 million in 2027 and grow 6.1 percent to 78.7 million in 2028. NTTO forecasts that international visitation to the United States will reach an all-time high of 82.3 million in 2029 before rising further to 85.2 million in 2030 (see Chart below and Forecast Tables at the end of the report).
1NTTO develops the International Visitor Forecast based on analysis of actual and predictive data, including current monthly trends and NTTO’s forecast model.
2Overseas visitation excludes Canada and Mexico. NTTO includes this estimate in its publications of international visitation to the United States because historically, the source of international visitation to the United States has been equally divided between overseas countries and Canada/Mexico.
To view the National Travel and Tourism Office’s International Visitor Forecast for 2026-2030 in its entirety, to include data tables and a full summary, please visit:
Select Market Profiles: Survey of International Air Travelers
